Industries
AI in public transit operations
The near future of AI in transportation is operational before it is autonomous. In public transit, AI's practical work sits in the control center and the back office: disruptions, open work, paratransit scheduling, customer contact and incident records. Transit is exception-heavy, safety-bound and unionized, so a person stays in the loop on every decision touching safety or staff.

Talk about the future of AI in transportation tends to start with driverless vehicles. Inside a transit agency, the day looks different. A dispatcher is filling open runs before the morning pull-out. A paratransit scheduler is rebuilding tomorrow's manifests around late cancellations. A customer service team is answering the same question about a detour for the fortieth time that morning. A supervisor is retyping an incident report into the safety system. Those are the jobs where AI can help first, and every one of them runs on exceptions.
Where does manual work pile up in transit operations?
Staffing. The American Public Transportation Association's workforce study, published in October 2022, reported that 96% of agencies it surveyed were experiencing a workforce shortage, and 84% of those said the shortage affected their ability to provide service. A shortage turns every morning into an exception-management exercise: open work, extraboard assignments, canceled trips and the communication that follows.
Disruptions. Vehicle failures, detours, weather and incidents change service in real time. The information has to reach dispatch, operators, customers and the record, and each of those hand-offs is usually manual.
Paratransit. Under 49 CFR 37.131, an agency must schedule ADA paratransit trips requested the previous day, and may not limit service through operational patterns such as substantial numbers of significantly untimely pickups, trip denials or missed trips. Reservations, confirmations, same-day changes and no-shows generate a large volume of customer contact and scheduling work.
Customer contact. Questions about arrivals, detours, lost property, fares and complaints. Many answers already exist in vehicle-location and schedule data that the customer cannot see.
Records. Incident reports, safety events, maintenance records and reporting to funders all depend on staff rekeying information from one system or form into another.
Which processes are good first candidates?
| Process | Why it suits AI | Where the person stays |
|---|---|---|
| Customer inquiries and complaints | High volume, answerable from schedule and vehicle data | Complaints about safety, discrimination or staff conduct |
| Paratransit confirmations and changes | Repetitive, rule-bound, measurable | The scheduler builds and changes manifests |
| Incident and safety report intake | Reports arrive incomplete and need coding | Safety staff classify and investigate |
| Open-work coverage support | Rules are written in the labor agreement | The dispatcher assigns the work |
| Disruption messages | Drafts follow known templates | The controller approves and sends |
Customer contact is the usual first choice. Answering a detour question with live data is call deflection that resolves, and the complaints that need a person reach one faster.
Why is human in the loop non-negotiable in transit?
Safety. Agencies covered by 49 CFR Part 673 run a Safety Management System with four components: safety management policy, safety risk management, safety assurance and safety promotion. An AI system that changes how operations work belongs inside that system's hazard identification and risk assessment, and it should never sit on the critical path of a safety decision without a person.
Labor. Under 49 U.S.C. 5333(b), commonly called section 13(c), recipients of federal transit funds must have protective arrangements in place for affected employees, and the Department of Labor must confirm those arrangements before the Federal Transit Administration releases funds. Those arrangements include preserving collective bargaining rights and protecting employees against a worsening of their positions. Part 673 brings labor into safety directly as well: it defines the Safety Committee as "the formal joint labor-management committee on issues related to safety that is required by 49 U.S.C. 5329 and this part." Work assignment rules also live in the labor agreement. An AI project that changes how represented employees work needs labor at the table from the start.
Accessibility. A paratransit error is a compliance exposure as well as a service failure. Scheduling suggestions stay suggestions until a scheduler accepts them.
Public accountability. A public agency has to explain its decisions. Every action the AI takes needs a log a supervisor, an auditor or a board member can read.
The working design is management by exception: AI handles the routine and surfaces the deviations, with human in the loop built into each queue and guardrails that stop the system at its limits.
Where should a transit agency's first pilot start?
Start outside the safety-critical path, in one mode or one division. Customer inquiries, complaint triage or incident report intake all work. Bring labor representatives in before design, not after. Set baselines first: response time, repeat contacts, report completeness, time from incident to coded record, and hours supervisors spend on administration. Run long enough to include a service change or a bad-weather week, because transit operations are judged on their worst days.
In Manthle's model, the engineers build around the agency's existing scheduling, vehicle-location and customer systems and operate the result with agency staff. The broader method, including how a working pilot becomes an ongoing operation, is set out in the guide to AI for business operations, and the queue design follows exception management.
You know what happens before we start.
One process, five steps. A pilot is measured against goals agreed at the start, and once it meets them, it becomes a monthly operations contract.
- 01
See
We spend time inside the process: its history, its systems, and the people who settle the hard cases by habit.
- 02
Rethink
With your process owner, we redesign before anything is automated: which decisions belong to a model, which to a rule, and which to a person.
- 03
Engineer
We build the AI system around the redesigned process, connected to the systems you already run, with the exception queue designed alongside it.
- 04
Harden
We test it on the cases that break things: incomplete inputs, odd edge cases, systems that go down.
- 05
Run
We operate it with your team, and keep it dependable as models, systems and policies change.
Questions
Transit agencies use AI for demand forecasting, scheduling, predictive maintenance and customer information, and it can also take on operational work such as complaint triage and paratransit reservations.
Autonomous vehicles draw the attention, but the nearer change is AI handling routine operational work, such as customer questions, records and scheduling support, under human control.
Transit decisions affect passenger safety, collective bargaining agreements and legal obligations such as ADA paratransit service, so accountable people must make those decisions.
AI can take routine administrative and customer-contact work off supervisors and schedulers, leaving them more time for operators and service, though it cannot drive the buses.
Start outside the safety-critical path, with a process such as customer complaint triage or incident report intake, in one mode or division, with labor involved early.
Sources
- Mass Transit, APTA report looks at root causes and possible solutions for transit workforce shortage (October 2022)
- eCFR, 49 CFR Part 673 Public Transportation Agency Safety Plans
- eCFR, 49 CFR 37.131 Service criteria for complementary paratransit
- US Department of Labor, Office of Labor-Management Standards, Public Transit Employee Protections